Vol. 21, #50 - December 19, 2016 - Issue #1111

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WServerNews Crystal Ball - 2016 Edition


Editor's Corner

In this week's newsletter your Editors offer their predications for what's ahead in the IT world in 2017. We also take a look back at our prognostications from last year to see whether we qualify for the Nostradamus Award. Of course we all know that forecasting future trends in any field is really nothing more than just simple guesswork. But even that could be a cool way of making a few quick bucks as Dogbert shows us:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/e5x94q8c/

Ask Our Readers: WServerNews has almost 100,000 subscribers worldwide. That's a lot of expertise to tap into. Do you need help with some issue or need advice on something IT-related? Got a question you'd like us to toss out to our readers to try and answer? Email us at wsn@mtit.com


From the Mailbag

We'll start off this issue of WServerNews by emptying out our Mailbag of any mail that's still been kicking around from 2016.
In Issue #1109 A glimmer of hope for Windows 10 we tried to focus on the positive concerning Windows 10 instead of harping on the negative as we've been doing lately. Our positive article generated from approving feedback from several of our readers. For example, a reader who works for a major professional services organization but prefers to remain anonymous said:

I have to say I agree with your reader/correspondent "Pete" with his more positive comments about Windows 10. I've been working in IT for far longer than I care to admit, and I can confidently say that Windows 10 is the best version of Windows so far. I have overall responsibility for strategy, design and management of a network of 250,000 Windows PCs across a large number of countries, and we've started the migration of all those PCs to Windows 10. I particularly agree with Pete's point 4 - whilst Microsoft's in-place upgrade from Win7 to Win10 may be ok for consumer upgrades, it's definitely bad news for large enterprise upgrades. Bite the bullet and do a clean install - you'll be much more pleased with the result.
It does seem to have become almost 'the norm' to write negatively about Microsoft products. Whilst they're not perfect, and Microsoft as a supplier have some annoying ways of doing business, overall Windows 10 in particular is very good. Unfortunately, some people seem to enjoy the rudeness of slagging off Microsoft products, sometimes with quite vicious, nasty comments. It's a similar level of nastiness that we've seen on both sides of the Atlantic in recent months, with commentators on both UK Brexit and the US Election. Positive observations just don't seem to get made - in my case because it generally doesn't seem worth the effort to then get the vitriol back that then seems to happen.
So, I'll say it again. As a very long term large enterprise desktop leader, I honestly believe that Windows 10 is a good product, and I'm putting that belief into action.

Another reader named Mike chimed in with a similar comment:

Just wanted to make a comment or two on the article. I am with Pete on his views. We have not encountered many issue with our Windows 10 roll-out, however like with any other OS, you don't want to upgrade a PC with a lot of miles on the OS. With a clean install we have had virtually no problems. Upgrades always bring old issues into the new OS, and people like to blame it on the new OS rather than where the real issue came from. We are rapidly rolling out Windows 10 and would not go back.

And Martin from Austria pointed out something important that we all need to realize concerning Windows 10:

I think there's one omission in all these discussions: all future hardware (Kaby Lake) only supports W10 -- and it's not the vendors' or Intel's fault. Microsoft announced it will only support W10 on future platforms. So if you're talking about larger scales (in my case it's ~ 8500 office PCs/Notebooks and ~4500 shop PCs (till systems and backoffice)) and you have a business need to get vendor support you don't have any other option than to move (not switch!!) to W10 (excluding strange stuff like Lenovo's announced Kaby lake notebooks with Sky Lake CPUs to provide W7(!) compatibility). In my case -- W10 distributed via SCCM is already working fine (not productive, however) -- we only have to agree on the basic group policies with data security and labor union. All new applications packages in SCCM are already tested against W8.1 and W10. And we plan to go live with July 1st 2017 -- from that date on every PC/Notebook/Tablet will leave our local ITs with W10. Which poses another problem because I'm sure there will be an instant increase of damaged installations to get the new W10. 

In Issue #1108 Reader feedback: Do certifications matter? we asked "Are we even asking the right question?" with regard to whether the IT profession should be licensed and regulated like the engineering profession or whether the existing pool of IT certifications provides enough value that such regulations are not necessary. An anonymous senior (now inactive) member of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) responded to us as follows:

Actually, you should be asking whether USA Engineering, including IT should be licensed, regulated AND REPRESENTED like legal, medical, accounting and real estate professions. State law prevents unqualified "doctors" from performing surgery or holding out (advertising) professional services, and limits employers' ability to replace their doctors with a bunch of less qualified unlicensed H1B interns.
Instead of having a powerful unified lobby in Washington DC and in state capitols, the engineering profession (including software engineering and IT) is fractured by discipline, resulting in reduced quality, lack of professional ethics, and public systems catastrophes often resulting from under-engineered systems such as the flooding of New Orleans, or the mess called Windows.

Also in that same issue we asked if more might sometimes be less when it comes to certification, and this same reader responded with:

I personally once had a bunch of credentials on my business card, but found many potential clients had trouble "connecting" with a perceived ivory tower professional, I have more market traction from client testimonials than from credentials, and currently have only one credential on my business card.  How to get a first testimonial if just starting out?  Ask to apprentice or intern at an existing firm in your desired practice area.

In Issue #1107 Reader Feedback: Should IT pros be licensed? we continued examining the question of whether the IT profession should be regulated and licensed in the way that the engineering profession is in most corners of the world. Andrew, a Project Manager for an industrial supply company is another of those of us who straddle both the engineering profession and the IT pro world:

This topic is proving very interesting. I am an Engineer by Degree (not a "Professinoal Engineer") and an IT Professional for a career. I have the same thoughts and concerns about ensuring that the person doing the job actually knows what they are doing. There are many certifications that mean very little, and only a few that have been designed to show actual practical knowledge. The place to start building such a program may be with the existing certification organizations which cover topics that apply to all of IT such as ITIL, and Security Certifications from organizations like ISC2 and SANS. Add in infrastructure technology from organizations like BICSI, Advanced level classes covering cooling, power, efficiency, protocols, connectivity, programming, and reliability (which must include statistics), then you will have something of value. One big issue that I'm not certain how to address is scope of practice. Engineers are licensed at the state level in the USA. IT professionals at global companies must practice their trade on a global scale in order to be effective in their role. The idea of boundaries does not work well and would impose major limitations on both the professional and the companies for which they work.

Finally, Stephen from South Africa sent us a link to this Dilbert comic strip about IT certification which he says he still has pinned on the wall beside his desk:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/dcqoxcza/

Hahahah…ouch!

 

Last year's predictions

Last year in Issue #1060 WServerNews Crystal Ball - 2015 Edition we predicted five significant events would happen in 2016. Let's briefly recap each of them and examine how close we came to the mark:

1. Microsoft backpedals on "Windows as a service".
Last year we predicted that Microsoft would backpedal on their "Windows as a service" model for Windows 10 by making some necessary changes to the Windows 10 licensing and servicing models to address the concerns of and to kickstart adoption by some of their largest customers.
Boy, were we wrong on that one. If anything, Microsoft seems to be doubling-down on this vision and is basically ignoring the ranting, raving, yelling and shouting that's been steadily increasing in volume from a large segment of their customer population. Oh well…guess it's either bite the bullet or switch to Linux. But definitely no points for us on this one.

2. Internet of Things (IoT) offerings will explode marketwise in 2016.
We were right and wrong on this one. Yes, IoT continues to grow rapidly as a market. But what really exploded this last year is how horribly insecure most IoT devices are. In fact it's almost come to the point that IoT-based DDoS attacks are threatening to bring down the entire Internet! So we'll give ourselves half a point on this one.

3. The US Supreme Court will issue a major ruling strengthening employee privacy rights in the workplace and threatening the way many businesses track and monitor the behavior of their workers.
Nope, we struck out again. No points.

4. Apple stock will drop by 25 percent as innovation finally dries up at Cupertino.
Although Apple stock essentially went nowhere last year, from the perspective of investors who are used to making big gains betting on Apple that's basically as good as a drop, right? So we'll give ourselves a point for that one because Apple is now the new Microsoft.

5. The tech boom will finally crash but not as badly as the 2000 dot-com bubble did.
Well, not last year but maybe this year. Bears are always right someday, aren't they? But no point for that one.

TOTAL SCORE = 1.5 out of possible 5 points--rats.

 

Our predictions for 2017

Now let's make some predictions for the coming year in tech:

1. Amazon Web Services will continue to grow faster than Microsoft Azure.
2. A major change will happen in the world of IT certification and training.
3. IoT-based DDoS attacks will continue to pose a significant threat to the functioning of the Internet.
4. There will be some major consolidations happening in the field of machine learning.
5. Windows Server 2016 will post the worst first-year growth ever of any Windows Server operating system from Microsoft.

Whaddayathink? Email us at wsn@mtit.com

Send us your feedback

Got feedback about anything in this issue of WServerNews? Email us at wsn@mtit.com

 

Recommended for Learning

From myITforum comes this announcement:

Troubleshooting with the Windows Sysinternals Tools 2nd Edition Released

Troubleshooting with the Windows Sysinternals Tools is the official book on the Sysinternals tools, written by tool author and Sysinternals cofounder Mark Russinovich, and Windows expert Aaron Margosis. The book covers all 65+ tools in detail.

http://www.wservernews.com/go/8c1xuxq1/

 

Microsoft Virtual Academy

Windows 10 Essentials for Business

This course will include multiple modules & videos about Windows 10 functionalities for business and advise customers & partners how to get to Windows 10 for their businesses through different licensing options:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/ev4xp0yj/

Factoid of the Week

Last week's factoid and question was this:

Toilet Duck, cellophane and the division sign (÷) were all invented in Switzerland. What is the most unusual or unexpected invention of your own country?

The best response we felt was this one from Tony in the UK, and was also the shortest response:

Cricket!

This one from Rhys in South Africa also caught our attention:

Kreepy Krawley

http://www.wservernews.com/go/xzptq1h1/

We'll restart our Factoid of the Week section with the upcoming Monday 2 January 2017 issue of WServerNews.

Until next week,

Mitch Tulloch


Admin Toolbox

Admin Tools We Think You Shouldn't Be Without

GOT ADMIN TOOLS or other software/hardware you'd like to recommend? Email us at wsn@mtit.com

SolarWinds Server & Application Monitor provides a simplified user experience for monitoring key aspects of Active Directory’s health and performance. Try Server & Application Monitor

http://www.wservernews.com/go/y45qpdn8/

Veeam Endpoint Backup FREE 1.5 includes CryptoLocker protection for USB storage, email notifications, and standalone full backup. It comes with support and isolates your PC or laptop backups from malware attacks.

http://www.wservernews.com/go/wrgglhth/

From Rod Trent's myITforum comes this news about some SysInternal tools that have been updated:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/07vom5k3/

CSV Buddy is a free portable tool which helps you view, sort or filter CSV files, rename or reorder fields, add or edit records, search and replace, save with an alternative delimiter or export to fixed-width, HTML templates or XML formats:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/49s6tae9/

DB Compare is a simple utility that compares the schema (Tables, Views, and Stored Procedures) of two SQL Server databases:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/i6sk44ub/

 

This Week's Tips

GOT TIPS you'd like to share with other readers? Email us at wsn@mtit.com

Active Directory - List all sites and subnets

Chad Cox has a post on his TechNet blog that shows how to use PowerShell to audit the sites and subnets being used in your Active Directory environment:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/ruqjopw3/

OpsMgr - List everything monitored by an agent

Laura Park has a blog post for those of you using System Center Operations Manager (SCOM) that shows how you can use PowerShell to generate a list of all the rules, monitors, thresholds, and overrides configured for a specific agent:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/9f1rneou/

Windows 10 - IT pro tips

Nathan Mercer informs us that starting with version 1607 of Windows 10 there is now a new section in the Get Started app that specifically targets IT professionals who work in enterprise environments:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/zagyshxg/

 

Events Calendar

North America

Microsoft Ignite Australia on February 14-17, 2017 at the Gold Coast Convention & Exhibition Centre, Broadbeach, QLD

http://www.wservernews.com/go/zzb8ckyb/

Microsoft Worldwide Partner Conference (WPC) on July 9-13. 2017 in Washington, D.C.

http://www.wservernews.com/go/8819wfmp/

Add Your Event

PLANNING A CONFERENCE OR OTHER EVENT you'd like to tell our 100,000 subscribers about? Contact info@techgenix.com

New on TechGenix.com

Recording software guide: Create training videos people will love

To make training videos either for work or to post online, you need the right tools. Here are some software programs that can make your videos sparkle:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/t4xaguh3/

How Windows Server 2016 manages security - for CIOs

For Windows Server 2016, Microsoft realized that fighting cybercrime is not just for IT teams. The new version has enhanced security features for CIOs too:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/q6dd6cgm/

Does Google have a place in the cloud wars?

Giant Google is still tiny cloud services. But the search giant has big plans to catch market leaders Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/qkh03tfe/

Enabling secure encrypted email in Office 365

So you've rolled out Email, yea! But have you enabled your users to send secure encrypted email? It's not at all difficult to implement in Office 365:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/8fhmeybn/

How to deploy DNS on Windows Server 2016 Nano edition

Learn how to deploy DNS on Windows Server 2016 Nano edition to provide rapid name resolution on minimal infrastructure:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/xa6m2cmm/

 

Tech Briefing

IoT

The fast path to an Azure IoT project (TechNet UK Blog)

http://www.wservernews.com/go/e32atnn0/

Connected Drones: 3 Powerful Lessons We Can All Take Away (Cortana Intelligence and Machine Learning Blog)

http://www.wservernews.com/go/4dn1llr7/

Networking

An Update on Windows TCP AutoTuningLevel (Networking Blog)

http://www.wservernews.com/go/p4u2l5ds/

Wake On LAN from Shutdown States 4 or 5 is Unsupported for Windows 10 (myITforum)

http://www.wservernews.com/go/1197xwdb/

Office 365

Home Lab Secrets: Building the Killer Home Lab Part 7 (Syncing On-Premise with Office 365) (Elliott Fields Jr.)

http://www.wservernews.com/go/4avgkng9/

Deep Dive Into Office 365 PowerShell Cmdlets (Part 6) (VirtualizationAdmin.com)

http://www.wservernews.com/go/5yuzaky1/

Security 

Device Guard and Credential Guard hardware readiness tool (myITforum)

http://www.wservernews.com/go/4s57xq8k/


The Ultimate Guide to Addressing Web Security Vulnerabilities (WindowsSecurity.com)

http://www.wservernews.com/go/5lvm2vnn/

VMware 

EVO:RAIL -- When and Where to Use It? (VMware Blogs)

http://www.wservernews.com/go/kadzt0q8/

Implementing Microsoft DPM host level protection of VMware VMs (SCDPM blog)

http://www.wservernews.com/go/lhzxsk12/

 

Other Articles of Interest

Optimize your enterprise network design for hybrid cloud

Public and hybrid cloud adoption has a major ripple effect on enterprise network design. New bottlenecks arise, and some businesses need to alter their network configurations -- particularly those for wide area networks -- to ensure they get the performance they need. Discover why you should consider private options for enterprise network design.

http://www.wservernews.com/go/4xqlln10/

How EMM tools can complement VDI

Mobility introduces a number of challenges that VDI was never designed to address -- both for end users and IT. In this tip, learn why many organizations are finding enterprise mobility management (EMM) tools the perfect complement to VDI strategies.

http://www.wservernews.com/go/i246x0b8/

Why are so many companies turning to cloud-based DR products?

Disaster recovery (DR) is often expensive and complex, making many companies reluctant to formulate a cohesive strategy. Can a cloud-based DR approach be the answer to that? Find out why cloud-based DR adoption is growing and also why the cloud may have a few hidden hiccups in some DR strategies.

http://www.wservernews.com/go/109m2kyn/


The right place to jump in with a DevOps methodology

The DevOps methodology can make any IT operations staff anxious, and as such, many businesses have yet to implement this methodology because they struggle with how to make the switch. Explore some barriers to DevOps adoption and learn where a good starting point is to introduce DevOps methodology.

http://www.wservernews.com/go/nqdvtlo0/

 

WServerNews FAVE Links

This Week's Links We Like. Tips, Hints And Fun Stuff

GOT FUN VIDEOS or other fun links to suggest you'd like to recommend? Email us at wsn@mtit.com

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1920's - 'What The Future Will Look Like'

The future as they saw it in the 1920's:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/wshsdyng/


Clothes Of The Future - Y2K Predictions From 1930

Predictions by American fashion designers from the 1930s of what the well-dressed man and woman would be wearing in 2000:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/ap25y3y0/


This Is How Much The World Has Changed In The Past 120 Years

Footage shot from 1896-1900 in Paris, Milan, London, Venice, Ney York and other cities around the world:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/dql30m6z/


Simon's Cat in 'Santa Claws'

A curious cat discovers Christmas:

http://www.wservernews.com/go/f6achzyz/

 

WServerNews - Product of the Week

 

WServerNews - Editors

Mitch Tulloch is Senior Editor of WServerNews and is a widely recognized expert on Windows administration, deployment and virtualization. Mitch was lead author of the bestselling Windows 7 Resource Kit and has been author or series editor for almost fifty books mostly published by Microsoft Press. Mitch is also a ten-time recipient of Microsoft's Most Valuable Professional (MVP) award for his  outstanding contributions in support of the global IT pro community. Mitch owns and runs an information technology content development business based in Winnipeg, Canada. For more information see www.mtit.com.

Ingrid Tulloch is Associate Editor of WServerNews and was co-author of the Microsoft Encyclopedia of Networking from Microsoft Press. Ingrid is also manages research and marketing for our content development business and has co-developed university-level courses in Information Security Management for a Masters of Business Administration program.